Perhaps we might unpack the issues a bit: First there seems to be the question of new riders and then there is the issue of motorcycles that would entice them. Probably not the same, since the former involves other factors (driving ability, economics, insurance, safety, culture of consideration for bikes, etc.) whereas the latter is a question of attraction, volition, disposable income, and so forth.
I just spent two months in Nepal, India and Taiwan, and have been impressed by the motorcycle culture in South Asia and the scooter culture in East Asia. These are not the same. In Taiwan, the volume of scooters exceeds motorcycles by a factor of ten at least, probably more. In a line-up of a hundred scooters, you would see maybe one motorcycle. Check out this video and you will see nary a motorcycle in this waterfall of scooters.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nTMnwGK8LyE
And in Taiwan, it is all about practicality—small displacement vehicles (50-150 cc), for which there are specific allowances in terms of lanes and traffic laws, and repair shops everywhere. People take their scooters to work and park them in scooter-designated zones on the sidewalk or in front of commercial buildings. They wear minimal gear (frightening, actually) and dress for the office. For them, it is cheap transportation, end of the discussion. I could detect no "love my scooter" movement but rather an acquiescence that scooters are the best decision for the circumstances.
In South Asia (Nepal and India), there
is a motorcycle culture, and I saw a gathering of almost a thousand Royal Enfield riders along the road between Delhi and Jaipur. And no one could imagine a less safe environment than in India, which by some measures has the highest traffic mortality in the world. Yet, Ducati and KTM are both thriving (relatively speaking) in South Asia whereas they are invisible in Taiwan; I saw Ducati dealerships in both India and Nepal, but only one Ducati in Taiwan. It was lonely.
When I returned, I began to see that part of the problem is the way we want to see the world, reflected in our news media. Whether Fox News' predisposition to portray the apocalypse as immanent or the other media as constantly obsessed with threats to safety (child with a hangnail in Poughkeepsie, pictures at eleven!) the primary ideology of the US is to eliminate any threat, and Americans are incessantly conflicted about threats: do I eat X or drink Y, what are my chances of cancer and what are the trade-offs. But then we Americans actually have terrible habits in that we pay no attention to the issues, and we drive with our faces in the phone, texting on the way to work, oblivious to the problem. I was almost killed taking a ride today, simply because a guy needed to text someone while driving his Escalade.
Bottom line: I don't think an industry emphasis will work until the society around changes. We do not see motorcycles as viable transportation because they are understood as a threat so long as our fellow citizens pay no attention to other drivers, let alone motorcycles. The millennial avant-garde culture (you all say 'hipsters') is relatively small, and the majority of 20-somethings are not interested in "authenticity" in the way of lumberjacks in Brooklin seeking Honda 350 cafe racers, but rather they want to pay off their loans and find a girlfriend. Not only is there a decline in motorcycles on the college campuses, the same issue applies to bicycles for many of the same reasons: sales dollar
volume is flat, which because of inflation means a slight actual decrease in the number of bicycles sold. I have seen no figures for the youth market, but do not believe it to be different.
Given that a
smaller percentage of millennials drive than in previous generations, it is difficult to see how the industry will tap potential riders. The prospective rider would first have to learn to drive and only then learn how to ride a motorcycle.
Harley may have a chance to make a difference, but Harley has not been in the small-displacement entry-level game for a very long time, although rumors are that they are embracing the obvious. We shall see.
Ron