I'm just not ready to toss Spies into the "one hit wonder" box. His three years in the show have been descending ones with his rookie year with Tech 3 being (IMO) his most memorable. I think it's more a case of his dissolution with the direction Motogp's heading (just like Casey) and more specifically with the Factory Yamaha organization. I don't see him throwing away the very thing he's made no bones about wanting for some time, a factory Motogp ride, without some pretty serious behind-the-scene drama. There's no "rising to the level of incompetence" or depression at work here, rather we're seeing into the face of a kid who just learned that Santa Clause is just a myth. Besides, considering where Motogp's heading he'll end up on a Superbike regardless of which direction he takes.